Dr. Brodie’s new paper reveals trade-offs in species distribution modeling between accurately estimating species abundance, spatial patterns, and underlying species~environment relationships. The short answer, is there is no one best tool and choosing the right tool depends on your modeling goals. I still refer frequently to Elith et al. 2006 as a good lesson on which models are best reproducing spatial patterning, but Steph’s paper highlights that pattern is only part of the process, particularly when modeling for fisheries management.
A large spatial closure to protect leatherback sea turtles greatly effect the California Drift Gillnet fishery, but did not have unintended negative consequences. Also, a decline in CPUE and effort for the fishery preceded the closure.